Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 87.850980 98.014986 108.359122 119.643675 131.577449 143.793956 157.216780
2025-08-03 70.774407 85.363853 100.839267 118.351700 137.499552 157.690643 180.484315
2025-08-10 61.426868 78.566333 97.305844 119.060630 143.382326 169.522096 199.531527
2025-08-17 53.318490 72.097405 93.213988 118.292700 146.873773 178.085552 214.414341
2025-08-24 47.350105 67.411469 90.551295 118.585511 151.060255 186.997074 229.296582
2025-08-31 41.554155 62.373567 87.009939 117.441089 153.241754 193.349295 241.042783
2025-09-07 37.898523 59.613193 85.885598 118.871031 158.173144 202.642567 255.954339
2025-09-14 34.893983 57.403295 85.211234 120.649234 163.357560 212.106207 270.963465
2025-09-21 31.028156 53.760753 82.517447 119.773044 165.228958 217.600365 281.304887
2025-09-28 26.958171 49.514601 78.801740 117.417457 165.143678 220.660854 288.705024
2025-10-05 25.972127 49.428483 80.362175 121.568958 172.874620 232.880122 306.737698
2025-10-12 24.472587 48.490328 80.720714 124.139679 178.632624 242.737115 321.996184
2025-10-19 21.920596 45.868672 78.757461 123.713235 180.712140 248.257659 332.243137
2025-10-26 19.422348 43.124000 76.484596 122.776871 182.079796 252.873471 341.391384
2025-11-02 17.689337 41.405604 75.509353 123.440819 185.374767 259.757821 353.189658
2025-11-09 15.668843 39.049859 73.518075 122.666122 186.783311 264.302384 362.159823
2025-11-16 14.145975 37.370410 72.389364 122.963640 189.493070 270.389844 372.946159
2025-11-23 12.362378 35.069731 70.242422 121.795229 190.258694 274.045690 380.772471
2025-11-30 11.410670 34.144844 70.058688 123.255385 194.374364 281.802253 393.533030
2025-12-07 10.619421 33.438577 70.156190 125.070996 198.931162 290.095168 406.942905
2025-12-14 9.272283 31.537255 68.349505 124.176405 199.909329 293.916079 414.902959
2025-12-21 7.742413 29.069476 65.537301 121.771063 198.829347 295.114509 419.622714
2025-12-28 7.660858 29.580274 67.411147 126.009973 206.525642 307.306820 437.791832